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Posted By Topic: Rules of Winning       - Views: 5048
StanleyAdams
29-Sep 2016 Thursday 9:31 PM (2998 days ago)
12BET.com, Toanbokie and laiszewea  8 Likes  
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Rule No.1



DO NOT bet on any even-chance game, i.e. one pays one, win probability - 50%.

The reasoning..... whatever betting/staking plan or strategy, or progression, you use,
will make you lose more than you win. And!......you will lose faster than you win.

Soon, you will be chasing your losses.

End outcome, YOU WILL LOSE, AND LOSE, AND LOSE!

Proof? Ah Hock.......say something.


Perhaps, Justin can also comfirm this when he realises his current betting strategy, 1324/6
works well on Sicbo game that pays more than 1:1. and not on roulette's black/red,
or BJ, or baccarat.

With higher win payout odds, when you win, i.e. caught a dragon,
you will win much more, when you lose, you lose less. Net = Win lor!

Sicbo, house has higher edge than roulette but not a big problem, if you have an
effective bet selection strategy that will give you a better payout odds or edge.

I prefer roulette because it has more variations, possibilities, and easy computation.
Most importantly, the repeating patterns are more pronoun.

Remember, you go to a casino, to WIN, nothing else! That's the name of the game!

If you don't win; you lose! There is no such thing as breakeven.



Too serious already......let's unwind a bit......this MV track is already good.....

add in the sexy movements.....deliciiiiiiiious.......enjoy!



https://www.youtube.com/embed/IIj7j7mtNS4

Can't embed MV - Sting Stellar .....from youtube




This message was edited by StanleyAdams on 29-Sep-2016 @ 9:42 PM



 
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StanleyAdams
29-Sep 2016 Thursday 10:09 PM (2998 days ago)            #2
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Sorry wrong mv

This message was edited by StanleyAdams on 29-Sep-2016 @ 10:14 PM



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StanleyAdams
29-Sep 2016 Thursday 10:15 PM (2998 days ago)            #3
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justin11sg
01-Oct 2016 Saturday 2:48 AM (2997 days ago)            #4
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quote originally posted by StanleyAdams:


Rule No.1



DO NOT bet on any even-chance game, i.e. one pays one, win probability - 50%.

The reasoning..... whatever betting/staking plan or strategy, or progression, you use,
will make you lose more than you win. And!......you will lose faster than you win.

Soon, you will be chasing your losses.

End outcome, YOU WILL LOSE, AND LOSE, AND LOSE!

Proof? Ah Hock.......say something.


Perhaps, Justin can also comfirm this when he realises his current betting strategy, 1324/6
works well on Sicbo game that pays more than 1:1. and not on roulette's black/red,
or BJ, or baccarat.

With higher win payout odds, when you win, i.e. caught a dragon,
you will win much more, when you lose, you lose less. Net = Win lor!

Sicbo, house has higher edge than roulette but not a big problem, if you have an
effective bet selection strategy that will give you a better payout odds or edge.

I prefer roulette because it has more variations, possibilities, and easy computation.
Most importantly, the repeating patterns are more pronoun.

Remember, you go to a casino, to WIN, nothing else! That's the name of the game!

If you don't win; you lose! There is no such thing as breakeven.



Too serious already......let's unwind a bit......this MV track is already good.....

add in the sexy movements.....deliciiiiiiiious.......enjoy!



https://www.youtube.com/embed/IIj7j7mtNS4

Can't embed MV - Sting Stellar .....from youtube




This message was edited by StanleyAdams on 29-Sep-2016 @ 9:42 PM




Answer to your ques. Yes need to put some $ on any triple + 15,16,4,5. Dun put really lugi. 






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Toh7788
03-Oct 2016 Monday 10:07 PM (2994 days ago)            #5
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quote originally posted by StanleyAdams:

Rule No.1
DO NOT bet on any even-chance game, i.e. one pays one, win probability - 50%.
The reasoning..... whatever betting/staking plan or strategy, or progression, you use,
will make you lose more than you win. And!......you will lose faster than you win.
Soon, you will be chasing your losses.
End outcome, YOU WILL LOSE, AND LOSE, AND LOSE!
Proof? Ah Hock.......say something.
Perhaps, Justin can also comfirm this when he realises his current betting strategy, 1324/6
works well on Sicbo game that pays more than 1:1. and not on roulette's black/red,
or BJ, or baccarat. With higher win payout odds, when you win, i.e. caught a dragon,
you will win much more, when you lose, you lose less. Net = Win lor!
Sicbo, house has higher edge than roulette but not a big problem, if you have an
effective bet selection strategy that will give you a better payout odds or edge.
I prefer roulette because it has more variations, possibilities, and easy computation.
Most importantly, the repeating patterns are more pronoun.
Remember, you go to a casino, to WIN, nothing else! That's the name of the game!
If you don't win; you lose! There is no such thing as breakeven.
Too serious already......let's unwind a bit......this MV track is already good.....
add in the sexy movements.....deliciiiiiiiious.......enjoy!
https://www.youtube.com/embed/IIj7j7mtNS4
Can't embed MV - Sting Stellar .....from youtube
This message was edited by StanleyAdams on 29-Sep-2016 @ 9:42 PM




nice advise



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StanleyAdams
06-Oct 2016 Thursday 10:05 PM (2991 days ago)            #6
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Outfront, this thread is not to encourage gambling. The overall intention is to reaffirm,
almost everyone will lose money and continue to lose when you gamble in any casino game.
Even with good knowledge or experience of these rules or skills, winning consistently is still
a fantasy - a dream of greed! Hopefully, this thread, at least, provide some useful and sensible
imformation to reduce loses of those who can't control their gambling habit.




Rule No.2 / 10


Beat the Odds, Not the Casino!


Nobody can beats the casino. That's, should not be of your interest.
You want to win money, not have an attitude to fight with the casino.


Still, very few understand the meaning of "beat the odds."


When you make a bet on 4D, win odds is 1 in 10,000. Payout - average, less than $3,000.
You didn't beat the odds. The number operator beats the shits out of you, sucker!

To beat the odds in casino's game, the win payout must be better than the odds of winning.
Or, similiarly, when your win odds or win probability is higher than the game's win payout.
If you can achieve both ways, go to toilet and laugh. You've just beat the shits out of the game.

Remember, not the casino, as casino cannot be beaten. They have lot of circuit breakers to beat you
when they realize you can beat the game's odds, frequently........ they can, change the dealer,
change the table's limit, close the table, and last resort - ban and blacklist you!!!!


Now, many must be asking the million dollars question, how to beat the odds.

Let me tell you a story........


Ah Boy : Uncle Stan, can you please give me your chicken rice recipe....for free?

Stanley Ho : Free Ar? OK, wait Ar, when I'm free, I give you, free.

Ah Boy : WaLau, Hosei liao, knn, Uncle stupid......... Jackpot.......strike ToTo.....LoL


After many moons..........many, many mooooons......


Ah Boy : Uncle! how are you?........ how come still no give recipe?

Stanley Ho : Ah Boy Ar, you are always free, but I am not "free" lei.
But, if you are really, really hungry, I'll balanja you, bit by bit lah, FREE!

Spoken softly :
Ah Boy Ar, even I give you the recipe, there is a lot of hard work and times needed
to prepare, cook and sell, to make 20% net profit. Chicken rice recipe is quite simple,
but not easy to cook, however, far from impooooooossible! Better listen carefully to a
crouching tiger hidden dragon, you may learn and able to make some money, when
and where you feel like it. Then, you can go to bed and get up, annnnnytime you like,
and treat me US prime steak, salad, and wine, at woooooolfgangpuck, eeeeeveryday.



OK, joke aside, I've already share with you this big big key strategy of one of the WHATs, for winning.
Those who has the cuts, will be able to work out the HOWs. Those who are unable to find the
solutions, better stick and focus on your day job, work smart and work harder and be progressive.
Don't get it wrong, as this is strictly for your own good. Not everyone can cut it.

Here is a tip......payout odds and win probability do balanced out over a long run, so called the
law of large number. But, over a certain limited rolls, the will be lopsided opportunities, e.g.
the law of the third. In roulette, there are many variations, occurrances, cycles, patterns or
opportunities. You just have to recognise the triggers to make your moves.


Beating the odds is applicable outside the games of casino, esp........??????


Long story liao, this will never end.............later!........Avatar.


Next.........Rule No.3.............."First, Focus on Win Probability, Not ROI!"



What is the odds of dogs making millions of dollar??.......probably...only ten thousands to one?


Ladies and Gentlemen.....I give you.....The Olate Dogs! They make millions......


That's my friends, is called "BEATING THE ODDS" !!!!!!!









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Mobcasinos
21-Oct 2016 Friday 11:53 PM (2976 days ago)            #7
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Nice rule but I have my own rule that I follow. 1 is If I won big one just bet one more to see if you would win again. 2 is if you loss on the first one try to bet again and if you again loss then call it a day.



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justin11sg
22-Oct 2016 Saturday 2:34 AM (2976 days ago)            #8
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Today kee siao night   
The sicbo any triple shock me which suggest me to stay longer. Keep "longing" the triple like stocks. 
Super cat bounce.

Won 2.7k back with 1k bankroll.
Taking weekend off again. Woho.
Strike any triple until lost count.
Kept water cover here and there.
Be patience the day has come tonight - full blue moon. Wahahaha. 

Highest strike $40 x 32 = $1240 

Total biggest win in 1 night year to date $2.7k

This time i run straight to atm deposit machine. Roll ar roll. 

No cannon below winnings. I don't cannon.


 

This message was edited by justin11sg on 22-Oct-2016 @ 3:32 AM






Peace be with you.

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TheOneAndOnlySpecialOne
22-Oct 2016 Saturday 6:30 AM (2976 days ago)            #9
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quote originally posted by justin11sg:

Today kee siao night   
The sicbo any triple shock me which suggest me to stay longer. Keep "longing" the triple like stocks. 
Super cat bounce.
Won 2.7k back with 1k bankroll.
Taking weekend off again. Woho.
Strike any triple until lost count.
Kept water cover here and there.
Be patience the day has come tonight - full blue moon. Wahahaha. 
Highest strike $40 x 32 = $1240 
Total biggest win in 1 night year to date $2.7k
This time i run straight to atm deposit machine. Roll ar roll. 
No cannon below winnings. I don't cannon.
 
This message was edited by justin11sg on 22-Oct-2016 @ 3:32 AM



Hi Bro congrats. May I ask u only bet triples?



Call me 'the special one'

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FREE.TIPS
22-Oct 2016 Saturday 10:50 AM (2976 days ago)            #10
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quote originally posted by justin11sg:
Today kee siao night   
The sicbo any triple shock me which suggest me to stay longer. Keep "longing" the triple like stocks. 
Super cat bounce.

Won 2.7k back with 1k bankroll.
Taking weekend off again. Woho.
Strike any triple until lost count.
Kept water cover here and there.
Be patience the day has come tonight - full blue moon. Wahahaha. 

Highest strike $40 x 32 = $1240 

Total biggest win in 1 night year to date $2.7k

This time i run straight to atm deposit machine. Roll ar roll. 

No cannon below winnings. I don't cannon.


  This message was edited by justin11sg on 22-Oct-2016 @ 3:32 AM



congrats on big win, you earn more in one day than i earn in 1 month. lol 

triple,  is your side bet, while your main bet is big/small? 
 



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justin11sg
22-Oct 2016 Saturday 1:39 PM (2975 days ago)            #11
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quote originally posted by TheOneAndOnlySpecialOne:


Hi Bro congrats. May I ask u only bet triples?




Bro, side bet Triple.
Main bet big/small. sometimes also abit on number 4,5,6, 15,16,17

$15 big/small + $2 triple,
$25 big/small + $5 triple,
$50 big/small +$10 triple,
$200 big/small + $25 triple,
$400 big/small +$40 triple.

Don't bet too big on triple. If your luck come it will strike once in every 50 games.

Leave when strike and enjoy your night.






Peace be with you.

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justin11sg
22-Oct 2016 Saturday 1:41 PM (2975 days ago)            #12
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quote originally posted by FREE.TIPS:
congrats on big win, you earn more in one day than i earn in 1 month. lol 

triple,  is your side bet, while your main bet is big/small? 




Yes sir you are correct. Main bet on big/small. Side bet triple.

Sometimes also side bet abit on 4,5,6 15,16,17

because 4 and 17 payout more hiong. x 64 times.






Peace be with you.

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TheOneAndOnlySpecialOne
22-Oct 2016 Saturday 2:26 PM (2975 days ago)            #13
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quote originally posted by justin11sg:

Bro, side bet Triple.
Main bet big/small. sometimes also abit on number 4,5,6, 15,16,17
$15 big/small + $2 triple,
$25 big/small + $5 triple,
$50 big/small +$10 triple,
$200 big/small + $25 triple,
$400 big/small +$40 triple.
Don't bet too big on triple. If your luck come it will strike once in every 50 games.
Leave when strike and enjoy your night.


Thanks Bro . Luck luck always



Call me 'the special one'

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StanleyAdams
23-Oct 2016 Sunday 10:59 PM (2974 days ago)            #14
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quote originally posted by Mobcasinos:

Nice rule but I have my own rule that I follow. 1 is If I won big one just bet one more to see if you would win again. 2 is if you loss on the first one try to bet again and if you again loss then call it a day.


Rule No.11 ..............do not follow the above rule!
.........Joking lah.
Here is a little pop quiz for you :
Do you honestly think your winning rule will:
A. PaoChaik B. PaoSu
C. PaoSee D. All the above
Trumpet fanfare & drum rolling sound!!!!!! Do do tu do do!
The correct answer is D. All the above.
Ok, joking aside, if it works for you, you may win sometimes.
If you lose most of the time, better do more homework again.
Here is a tip :
A double-bet strategy has its merit.
It's is a fairly good "MiniCooper" hit & run betting strategy.....
PROVIDED!
You've satisfied the criteria of the Rules of Winning's No.1 and No.2
You want........ $$$ MONEY $$$......




This message was edited by StanleyAdams on 24-Feb-2017 @ 4:52 PM



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justin11sg
02-Nov 2016 Wednesday 4:13 PM (2964 days ago)            #15
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Yesterday play roulette for 30 mins short while entertainment.

​1,3,2,4 bet size - on even / odd. knn 15 times dragon mode on even. collect more $$$$. swee swee.

In the end , won $300 and go home after pattern in correction mode.

side bet number 0 never came out. wahahaha






Peace be with you.

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StanleyAdams
03-Nov 2016 Thursday 12:37 AM (2964 days ago)            #16
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quote originally posted by justin11sg:

Yesterday play roulette for 30 mins short while entertainment.
​1,3,2,4 bet size - on even / odd. knn 15 times dragon mode on even. collect more $$$$. swee swee.
In the end , won $300 and go home after pattern in correction mode.
side bet number 0 never came out. wahahaha





I am reading.........you are the only one that could benefit from this thread......but,
if I misunderstood, suggests you look thro' all my threads again as I believe
you are the only one who are able pick up or appreciate them. With progress, you will find
the road to a good pasive incomes.......won't be rich, also will not ever be hungry.


The young or rookies here are too green, and have lots of due to pay.........the seasoners?.....
well, sorry to say this, "you really can't teach old dogs, new tricks,"


But be warned, you must focus totally on one specific game, one strategy, until
you master it.

It doesn't make sense to win on one game and lose them all to others.

DONT be all over the places and spread yourself too thin and be driven out of focus,
control or discipline.

I believe, when you lost, it's because you have lost control or dicipline.

Remember, LinDan or TigerWoods, won't get to where they are without tons of
trainings and practises.


And always do post-morten after you won or lost...............

...that is the only way to progress further.






Now, you must drive..........











 
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justin11sg
03-Nov 2016 Thursday 1:34 AM (2964 days ago)            #17
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quote originally posted by StanleyAdams:




I am reading.........you are the only one that could benefit from this thread......but,
if I misunderstood, suggests you look thro' all my threads again as I believe
you are the only one who are able pick up or appreciate them. With progress, you will find
the road to a good pasive incomes.......won't be rich, also will not ever be hungry.


The young or rookies here are too green, and have lots of due to pay.........the seasoners?.....
well, sorry to say this, "you really can't teach old dogs, new tricks,"


But be warned, you must focus totally on one specific game, one strategy, until
you master it.

It doesn't make sense to win on one game and lose them all to others.

DONT be all over the places and spread yourself too thin and be driven out of focus,
control or discipline.

I believe, when you lost, it's because you have lost control or dicipline.

Remember, LinDan or TigerWoods, won't get to where they are without tons of
trainings and practises.


And always do post-morten after you won or lost...............

...that is the only way to progress further.






Now, you must drive..........








 



 yes u are right. To punt ft is literally impossible. Salary and winnings are two different class of assets. Taxi uncle told me winnings must spend and give some away for gd causes. 
 






Peace be with you.

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justin11sg
04-Nov 2016 Friday 3:37 PM (2962 days ago)            #18
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Genting stocks soar 9% today biz time news. 






Peace be with you.

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StanleyAdams
04-Nov 2016 Friday 6:30 PM (2962 days ago)            #19
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quote originally posted by justin11sg:

Genting stocks soar 9% today biz time news. 


Thanks for sharing.
Counter's chart, look good, like got follow thro' buying.....BUT!
Index and overall market's sentiments, very, very weak = risky!
Better stay on the sideline.
Wait for a stronger wave, then.........





This message was edited by StanleyAdams on 24-Feb-2017 @ 4:53 PM



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TheOneAndOnlySpecialOne
08-Jan 2017 Sunday 6:14 AM (2898 days ago)            #20
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quote originally posted by justin11sg:
Bro, side bet Triple.
Main bet big/small. sometimes also abit on number 4,5,6, 15,16,17
$15 big/small + $2 triple,
$25 big/small + $5 triple,
$50 big/small +$10 triple,
$200 big/small + $25 triple,
$400 big/small +$40 triple.
Don't bet too big on triple. If your luck come it will strike once in every 50 games.
Leave when strike and enjoy your night.

Thanks Bro . Luck luck always


Go genting will try this thank



Call me 'the special one'

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boomtown
08-Jan 2017 Sunday 11:17 AM (2898 days ago)            #21
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shalomz
good advice however most games are organised and well trained croupier plus skillful cruopier the old timer type. roulette is one of the difficult chance though its higher in payout, somtime ball can jump out of hole hehehhehe so funny right but it happen ,

the best is to not to stick to one game u like only move around play few rounds eack like sic bo then banker player then roulette and then in 1 hour or less than 1half hour out you go

results are normally good in this way
hit and run hit and run hit and run

just some personal views here no offense to anyone happy ot all bodee here


shalaomz



Shalaomz

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justin11sg
08-Jan 2017 Sunday 7:06 PM (2897 days ago)            #22
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quote originally posted by TheOneAndOnlySpecialOne:
quote originally posted by justin11sg:
Bro, side bet Triple.
Main bet big/small. sometimes also abit on number 4,5,6, 15,16,17
$15 big/small + $2 triple,
$25 big/small + $5 triple,
$50 big/small +$10 triple,
$200 big/small + $25 triple,
$400 big/small +$40 triple.
Don't bet too big on triple. If your luck come it will strike once in every 50 games.
Leave when strike and enjoy your night.

Thanks Bro . Luck luck always


Go genting will try this thank



oh casino.. now i bet soccer more.. yes this method is ok. ​ win win win ole ole ole.. 1 hour will settle them. no need stay too long.​ play baccarat also ok.. follow the ong ppl.
 






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StanleyAdams
10-Jan 2017 Tuesday 7:25 PM (2895 days ago)            #23
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OK, I.....sort of stop writing or contributing coz' it seems that I am talking to the wrong people,
and......with only one "like," indicates, there is little interest in this thread.


Quite clear that there are lots of ball or sports punters, here. Thus, they may not find these rules
quite relevant to their games, as these rules are more focused on the games of my interests, accordingly. i.e.:

1. Horse racing - strictly on HKJC only for many advantages reasons.
2. Casino - strictly on roulette, again for certain player's edges.
3. Stock trading - strictly active at bull market only.
4. Properties investments - strictly focus on or as "home," for the children only.



So, not to be mistaken, when there is sufficent show of "like" aka interest, then I will share more.

Don't get it wrong...I am not fishing for "likes" which have no benefit to me. But, merely trying to
guage the level of interests or demands so that it would not be a waste of time for you and me.

No demand, no supply.........makes sense?


Meanwhile, happy hours......cheers!










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HomeWork
10-Jan 2017 Tuesday 10:06 PM (2895 days ago)            #24
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quote originally posted by StanleyAdams:




OK, I.....sort of stop writing or contributing coz' it seems that I am talking to the wrong people,
and......with only one "like," indicates, there is little interest in this thread.


Quite clear that there are lots of ball or sports punters, here. Thus, they may not find these rules
quite relevant to their games, as these rules are more focused on the games of my interests, accordingly. i.e.:

1. Horse racing - strictly on HKJC only for many advantages reasons.
2. Casino - strictly on roulette, again for certain player's edges.
3. Stock trading - strictly active at bull market only.
4. Properties investments - strictly focus on or as "home," for the children only.



So, not to be mistaken, when there is sufficent show of "like" aka interest, then I will share more.

Don't get it wrong...I am not fishing for "likes" which have no benefit to me. But, merely trying to
guage the level of interests or demands so that it would not be a waste of time for you and me.

No demand, no supply.........makes sense?


Meanwhile, happy hours......cheers!







 


Cheers and do share more , share your 4 pointers as well . 

Good night . 

 




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StanleyAdams
03-Nov 2017 Friday 6:04 PM (2598 days ago)            #25
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Rule No.3 / 10

Focus on Win Probability, not ROI!



Actually, this should be rule No.1.....it has been moved down two places coz.......
I beleive, first, you must take control and stop losing by betting on even-chance games,
then, you must fully appreciate the strategy of "beating the odds" before you could
turnaound, and play-to-win, consistently.



Win Probability determines Payout Odds; Payout Odds do not determines Win Probability.

An odds-on favorite horse won less than 30%, you get the picture?

Exception : True zero-sum game like roulette with fixed odds (discounting house's edge of the No. "0").



Thus, it is critical to know your realistic win propability.
Then, you can make the right decision to bet or not.

Before I make any bet, I will never fail to ask myself, "what is the win probability
of the bet?" If it is good, I have reasons to be confident, game on..
If it's not good enough, e.g. less than 50% win probability, no bet..........
there is always the next or better opportunities.


This may sound simple, but not easy to carry out.....as consistent discipline needed.

This is the key driver of winning!

If you can always remember and focus on this rule, your odds of winning will increase significantly.


Many keep losing because they are greedy and too lazy to analysize the real situation............or.......
always take the implusive or easy way out.

Perhaps, a good example is betting on 4D or worse, Toto. High payout but your
win probability is near to zero percent. Worse of all, even when you strike, you
are short-changed by the unfair payout odds. i.e. 4D's win probability is 1 in 10,000,
maximum payout odds is only a couple of thousands. You have been scamed or
taken before you even have a chance of winnings. Toto? You do the math.....
.....1:13.8 mil. What is the max payout? What a legal scam!


Remember,

"Win first; max later!..........If you don't win; You will LOSE!



Do you know.........What is your Win probability?????



Next.........Rule No.4 / 10..........Choosing the winning games.












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StanleyAdams
10-Nov 2017 Friday 5:10 PM (2591 days ago)            #26
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RULES?


Unlike laws, which are rather negative as they are meant to prevent or punish those who broken them.


These Rules are positive guidelines for betterment. You follow them you will get better.
You don't, you don't.


Thus, these rules not only increase player's edges significantly but also form a strong baseline
for further innovations, developments, and optimisations.

In short, they are winning edges, strategies, or win probabilities.


Here are the preview of the rest of my Top Ten Rules of Winning,
for anticipated inspirations:


Rukes 4 / 10.
Choosing the right winning games.


Rules 5 / 10
Right Timely Action - "Time to max; Max your winnings!"


Rukes 6 / 10
Bankroll Management and Development.


Rules 7 / 10
Fast and Furious - betting strategies.


Rules 8 / 10
Picking winners by pattern recognition.


Rukes 9 / 10
No sure thing....but you can get very close.



Rukes 10 / 10
Rules over, or above all rules - The intangible or X-Factors.




Finally, Bonus Rule - A Winning System.....derived from The Ten Winning Rules.



Will post detailings when time permit.



Oh......btw, one point......all these are life-long-learning-experiences, hence, copyright reserved.





"To win, you determine; You don't guess!"





.






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peacenjoy
11-Nov 2017 Saturday 8:32 AM (2591 days ago)            #27
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good morning bro,

i appreciate your meaningful information
what about螳螂捕蝉黄雀在后? how do you see this?or whats your view on this?
gamblers can win constantly, the house change strategies also constantly

next, practical reaction when u hit bad patch

for me, theories/experiences are valuable references?




Good luck & cheerios!

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jas win
11-Nov 2017 Saturday 9:05 AM (2591 days ago)            #28
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All was setup on online live casino ,first we r given some winning then lastly end up on much loss.



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StanleyAdams
16-Nov 2017 Thursday 3:25 PM (2585 days ago)            #29
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quote originally posted by peacenjoy:

good morning bro,
i appreciate your meaningful information
what about螳螂捕蝉黄雀在后? how do you see this?or whats your view on this?
gamblers can win constantly, the house change strategies also constantly
next, practical reaction when u hit bad patch
for me, theories/experiences are valuable references?




1. I can't read chinese, pls translate in english,
so that I can answer your question.

2. To avoid or reduce "bad patches," there are various circuit-breakers
or stoploss control. You will see more in the coming Rules 5, 6, 7 and more.

3. If you study these rules carefully..... no theories but pure experiences with reasonings.



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StanleyAdams
16-Nov 2017 Thursday 3:28 PM (2585 days ago)            #30
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quote originally posted by jas win:

All was setup on online live casino ,first we r given some winning then lastly end up on much loss.





I don't trust any online casino, best to avoid totally.



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peacenjoy
16-Nov 2017 Thursday 10:06 PM (2585 days ago)            #31
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quote originally posted by StanleyAdams:

I don't trust any online casino, best to avoid totally.


online = software/programmed?




Good luck & cheerios!

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peacenjoy
16-Nov 2017 Thursday 10:12 PM (2585 days ago)            #32
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quote originally posted by StanleyAdams:

1. I can't read chinese, pls translate in english,
so that I can answer your question.
2. To avoid or reduce "bad patches," there are various circuit-breakers
or stoploss control. You will see more in the coming Rules 5, 6, 7 and more.
3. If you study these rules carefully..... no theories but pure experiences with reasonings.


螳螂捕蝉黄雀在后,means gamblers can win constantly, the house always react and the future decks are shuffled in a way to against gamblers' strategy
thats y lessons learnt/winning achieved today is only a reference for future
each gambler has a profile by the house
thats y u cannot wear a duck cap where your face is hidden



as for stoploss, how to avoid it is an art
human being has passion/emotion
we r not robot
this is since ancient time
thats y the house wins in the end

the art or wisdom to stoploss and punt more during sunny weather has to be learnt by experienced

else casino closes shop already




Good luck & cheerios!

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Hengonghuat888
16-Nov 2017 Thursday 11:29 PM (2585 days ago)            #33
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MBS this saturday/Sunday anyone? Been busy recently had not went about 2 months plus.




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umw
26-Dec 2017 Tuesday 10:23 AM (2546 days ago)            #34
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quote originally posted by peacenjoy:

online = software/programmed?




totally agreed





"""




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HomeWork
28-Dec 2017 Thursday 5:00 AM (2544 days ago)            #35
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StanleyAdams
19-Aug 2018 Sunday 4:09 PM (2309 days ago)            #36
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Rukes 4 / 10. Choosing the winning games.



Obvious question, so what is the best game to play?

Obvious answer : The game that you have the highest win rate.



There is more.

Firstly, let undertand the game of betting.

Technically, there are two types of betting game.

1. A game based on ramdon selection resulting in ramdon outcomes.
E.g. 4D, Toto scam, and almost all games in a casino.
Esentailly, by pure chance and no skill involved. Your win or loss is totally uncertain.
Thus, when you bet on these games, you are GAMBLING = very high risk
= heavy loss, endlessly.

2. Games whose results are predictable.
Eg. Stock trading, horse racing or perhaps, sport betting.
These games require skils - mainly analytical skills derived from
knowledge, data/information, and experiences.
Thus, these games are more of a competitive game.
Your chance of winning get higher if you are more skillful.... like golf.

So, you should only choose games whose results are conceivable.
Simply because your win probability is better or higher. If you
just depend on "luck" and gamble, you will lose everything, eventually.




Secondly, we must understand the components of a bet.

Betting MUST be a zero-sum game.

If not, it is a scam like Toto or buying insurance......the only
difference is, you better pray you don't strike or have an accident.
Why scam? Toto odds of winning is 1: 13.9 million, but only payout a
fraction of their collection. You are scamed or grossly short-changed.
Insurance goes by the same scaming strategy.
For a zero-sum game, the payout must be equal to the odds of winning.
Eg. you bet one number in roulette, you get pay 35:1 as the odds of winning
is 1:36, barred "0." That's is almost zero-sum.
Toto, 4D, and insurance are Minus-sum game, Toto or insurance companies
have a definite, enormously winning edge or advantage.....i.e..pao chaik.

Actually, insurance is worse than Toto because if you buy more Toto ticket,
it does increase your chance of winning. But, the more or higher premium
you paid, it will not reduce your chances of getting an accident.

Only bet on Plus-sum game aka game you can beat the odds or have a good winning edge.

Technically, a bet consist of two outcomes - win probability(WP) or loss possibility(LP).
That is why there is no sure thing. No such thing as "put money, take money."
I.e. when you bet on roulette black/red, it would be 50% WP / 50% LP,
ignoring house edge of "0" which I call it entertainment tax, given
the casino give you freebbies, services, billion$ environment, and by all
fairness, they have a lot of bills to pay, including taxes to the government.

Actually, to me, roulette is the fairest casino game. Bet one number, pay 35:1,
that is the closest zero-sum game, again barred "0" house advantage.

A bet also have two odds - odds of winning =WP, and its payout odds.

Thus, in order to have a winning edge, you MUST choose games
that give you a higher WP or better payout odds. This is call
"beating the odds" - see Rule No.2.



In summary, you must only choose to bet on predictable result games
that give you the best win rate or winning edge/advantages, that
you can "beat the odds," depending on your knowledge + experience +
analytical intelligence = winning skills aka winning edge.

Wah! so long alreadi. Hope this will give you a clearer picture in the game of chance.

Time to rewind and read from Rule No.1. I am aware there are some repeats in
what I am saying. This is to enforce the critical points.



All these rules not only help and improve your winning edge but more importantly,
they will also protect you.




Actually, Rule No.4 is sort of about "be in the right place."

Coming next, Rule No.5, Right Timely Action - "Time to max; Max your winnings!"

It's all about "be at the right time," ............ very critical!





.



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StanleyAdams
19-Sep 2018 Wednesday 5:18 PM (2278 days ago)            #37
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..



Rule No.5, Right Timely Action - "Time to max; Max your winnings.


At once, this is not about time management.
Time cannot be managed as "time waits for no man,"
Whatever you do, time moves on. You cannot make time
or stop time. And management simply means control.
You can't control time.


So, what's the story?

For your interests, you can make the best out of the time you have.
For being focusing on effectiveness and efficiency.

In the game of betting, forget about efficiency. Sure, you can bet
bigger, more, and faster. Don't do that! You will die faster because
you can't beat the efficiency of the big fish, whoever you are betting
against, they have the most efficient games and systems. That's how
they win all these years and still winning.

The strategic focus here is effectiveness at the right timing and right
times aka window.

You must have heard of "market timing" in stock trading.
Game of betting, same, same.

Timing is everything or nothing.

So?.........Pick the right times, and prioritise your bet size.

How?......Like trading, it's all about when you go in
and most importantly, when you get out.....also like
being a great lover, if you get my drift...hehehe.

The rest are distractions, deceptions, or discruptions.


Therefore, whatever game of your interest, you must ID the triggers
to bet and the triggers to STOP! And keep it simple.

For those who follow my threads, you probably know, I focus on
three games - Stock trading, roulette, and HKJC, with different
objectives and level of risk tolerances.

Thus, examples of triggers:

1. Stock trading - just master SMA, and Elliott Wave. Don't let other
TAs confuse your moves.

2. Roulette - whatever system you are playing, triggers
depend on your bet selection strategy
couple with pattern recognition
(more in Rule No. 8, The Golden Key!).

3. HKJC - Just STOP betting after the race that you believe to
have the highest win probability, take profit. If you can't win
on your best bet race, chances are, you are not going
to win on that meeting. So, play safe.

And focus, first and most, on the last race of the meeting
when you do your homeworks, as your makes and breaks,
mainly or usually depends on it.


As for "max your winning," simply means, when you win,
you must win more - hit the iron when and where it is hot.......
.......... whack at the right timing, when you are winning, and not
when you are losing.

Later, Rule No.7, will show you how to whack with my "Turbo Martingale."


One point to note, like trading, it's very easy to "go in." Some experts
said, "anytime!" The key is, when you "get out" ......to me, is to take profit
and never, to cut loss.



Just for fun, side track a bit, a question of time....."Can you buy time?"


Yes! You can! ........... Just outsource as much as you can - cook less,
use Panda food delivery,


And delegate - don't drive, call grab.


You can buy and save lots of time.




Rule No.5 is about "WHEN!" Critical, coz' you can have all the right
"Why, What, How, Who, Where," accordingly, without "WHEN,"
the rest are all useless!



Next, for better continuity, will go to....... Rules 7 / 10 Fast and Furious - betting strategies.

Once you know how to "catch the wave," you must know how to "ride the wind."

Aka....Once you know when to whack, you must know how to whack!




Again, a reminder, it is not my intention to encourage betting.

Majority will not benefit much from all these takeaways as
I am aware that only a few are willing and able to appreciate
this thread and make good use of it, and perhaps, turnaround
from negative situation to a positive one. And, for those few,
hopefully, they can be fruitful and multiply.




If you have to play,


"Play to win; Don't gamble to lose!"




..





This message was edited by StanleyAdams on 21-Sep-2018 @ 5:44 PM



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Clumsy
29-Sep 2018 Saturday 10:30 AM (2269 days ago)            #38
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To sum up u need to beat the fengshui of casino in the long run to allow urself and energy around u to make u put at right time and right choice. 

To do that , u may need millions to get a better fengshui master to help u overcome what casinos have done 



Bet With Care
Don't follow without your heart telling you the same thing


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StanleyAdams
30-Sep 2018 Sunday 6:03 PM (2267 days ago)            #39
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quote originally posted by Clumsy:

To sum up u need to beat the fengshui of casino in the long run to allow urself and energy around u to make u put at right time and right choice. 
To do that , u may need millions to get a better fengshui master to help u overcome what casinos have done 




..

Haha,.......Fung Shui......straightaway, it reminds me....
when working in HK, where Fung Sui is quite big there.

Been young and restless, we did lots of crazy things..
including spending an evening in Temple St. trying to
analyse fortune tellers of their modus operendi.
The best of the lot is one who has eyes like a thief...
continuously trying to steal informations from you,
you know, like "looking at your watch and tell you
what time it is."



Fung (wind), Shui (water), is more of an uncertainty......
..same as luck....risk, etc. Technically, it's a marketing principle
of "accessibility - "Right place at the right time." Eg. a good
restaurant in a good location will do very well, when stock market
is up.


Come back to our context of timely betting...........it is about

"catching the right tailwind (fung) and ride out the big wave (shui)."


So,

"FLY, Mr. Bond,.... FLY!..........if you don't FLY, YOU DIE!"






..








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ARh Huat
25-Dec 2018 Tuesday 7:19 AM (2182 days ago)            #40
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quote originally posted by StanleyAdams:

Rule No.1
DO NOT bet on any even-chance game, i.e. one pays one, win probability - 50%.
The reasoning..... whatever betting/staking plan or strategy, or progression, you use,
will make you lose more than you win. And!......you will lose faster than you win.
Soon, you will be chasing your losses.
End outcome, YOU WILL LOSE, AND LOSE, AND LOSE!
Proof? Ah Hock.......say something.
Perhaps, Justin can also comfirm this when he realises his current betting strategy, 1324/6
works well on Sicbo game that pays more than 1:1. and not on roulette's black/red,
or BJ, or baccarat. With higher win payout odds, when you win, i.e. caught a dragon,
you will win much more, when you lose, you lose less. Net = Win lor!
Sicbo, house has higher edge than roulette but not a big problem, if you have an
effective bet selection strategy that will give you a better payout odds or edge.
I prefer roulette because it has more variations, possibilities, and easy computation.
Most importantly, the repeating patterns are more pronoun.
Remember, you go to a casino, to WIN, nothing else! That's the name of the game!
If you don't win; you lose! There is no such thing as breakeven.
Too serious already......let's unwind a bit......this MV track is already good.....
add in the sexy movements.....deliciiiiiiiious.......enjoy!
https://www.youtube.com/embed/IIj7j7mtNS4
Can't embed MV - Sting Stellar .....from youtube
This message was edited by StanleyAdams on 29-Sep-2016 @ 9:42 PM


that means only buy toto when it heat 8 mil




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zhuang_123456
25-Dec 2018 Tuesday 10:31 PM (2181 days ago)            #41
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win today, lose tomorrow. luck is never constant, only bad habits and poor self control. But nevertheless, good luck to all.




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oldox
12-May 2019 Sunday 8:23 PM (2043 days ago)            #42
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In gambling,the number come out randomly but during the game bias will always happen.  Certain paattern will be formed. If in roullet the patttern may be formed in one side of big/smalll,black/red,odd/even,corner or columns. If you know the pattern is forming,why not strke it big.
 

This message was edited by oldox on 12-May-2019 at 8:39 PM

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HomeWork
02-Jun 2019 Sunday 11:09 PM (2022 days ago)            #43
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Bitcoin how? to moon soon?




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StanleyAdams
12-Jul 2019 Friday 7:52 PM (1982 days ago)            #44
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quote originally posted by ARh Huat:

that means only buy toto when it heat 8 mil




Don't be fooled!

Toto is the biggest short-change (minus-sum game) SCAM!!



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StanleyAdams
12-Jul 2019 Friday 7:55 PM (1982 days ago)            #45
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quote originally posted by HomeWork:

Bitcoin how? to moon soon?




Has potential, but too volatile or unpredictable, and not enough R&D done, for me.



I am observing.



 
HomeWork  1 Likes  
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StanleyAdams
12-Jul 2019 Friday 8:12 PM (1982 days ago)            #46
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..



Rules 7 / 10 Fast and Furious - betting strategies.



Aha! Looks like there are some interests...so, I shall continue.


Ok, this is a very serious rule, so I will not joke around as I know my
jokes are only funny if you have a few beers.



First, let me tell you a real story...told by a VIP Service Manager.

Quite somtimes ago, an old man, looks like Taiwanee, bought-in 200k of
chips and he nicely told the casino manager that, " no fun, your table limit
is too low." The cocky manager told the vip service manager that, " looks
like he want to die faster." So, he increased the table's limit to the level the
man wanted. In a couple of hours, the old man won over 500k, cash out,
took his profit and run. That is called "fast and furious" play.


The point here is, playing a even chance game, baccarat, to win you must
have a very good or aggressive betting strategy, aka "hit hard; run fast!
Of course he must also have a good bet selection strategy aka pattern
recognition strategy...which will increases his win probablility.



Now, this lead to the rule of betting or staking strategy...aka, some form
of accelerated betting progression, or some form of martingale.

Btw, never play martingale..it is a sure-lose strategy as a negative progressive
betting, you simply just lose much more than you win, and lose much faster.

However, an asending progression, deploy in the right ways at the right times,
that is a different story.

Again, let's be clear, as usual, I always like to define the issue and breakdown the mechanic
so that the progressive ones can develop the strategy to a higher level. Aka, show you
how to fish and not giving away the fish. To some, with a loser's mindset, my thread
may be "wishful thinking" or BS to their understandings. For a winner's mindset, this
will be put some decent money into your pocket.


First, you must remember, the objective of a betting strategy is not just to win,
it is to optimize your betting yield.

Breaking it down...here are your options or I like to call them "buttons" right in front
of you to press, for your next decision on progression bet:

1. Increase - how much? Why?
2. Flat - same bet, no change, why?
3. Decrease - reduce, how much and why?
4. Pause - miss one or two bets, why?
5. Reset - back to square one, same as your last bet, or even the bet before the last bet, why?
6. Most important of all - STOP !!!!!!! When?????

With these options or decisions in mind, you can slowly, strategically formulate your betting
stratetgy or progression. It's all depends on your win probabilities, bankroll, wingoal, and loss
limit. Note: Casinos with billions $$ bankroll, they still have a table limit, aka loss limit.
So what is yours, limitations!




I did memtioned before about my "Turbo Matingale" progression. After second thought,
it is better not to expose it as it can be very aggressive or dangerous - sing or sink or like fire
- a good servant or a bad master. In fact, I like to call it "the nuke," as it has a "mushroom" effect. You get my drift?

This, you must know, it is not a negative progression like martingale or positive progression
like Paroli. Win or lose, I escalate. But, I do pause, sometimes. That is why it is very aggressive.
...... but very productive if you got it right.......aka, you make the right decisions.
The key here is, if you hit it right, one win could cover many of your losses.


Since last HKJC meeting was a very rewarding one, I will show you how my betting
strategy works, this Sunday, HKJC season finale. Go to the horse racing forum on Sunday to view.


Lastly, like a "critcal success factor" in business, betting strategy is the second most
"critical winning factor" for any betting or money game.

Of course, the most critical winning factor is bet selection strategy....
......coming soon on Rule 9. Bet Selection Strategy by Pattern Recognition.

Here is a teaser....

" Everything has a Pattern, even there is no pattern, that itself is a pattern."

Some said, " Pattern is everthing." Is "pattern Recognition," an Ai?

I will share with you, some effective techniques for Bet Selection and Pattern Recognition
strategies.




Remember,


" A winner, play to win; A loser always preparing to lose!"

- Strategic Advantage Investor.


Therefore, a winner only focus on concievable result game while a loser gamble on unknown risk.



....



 
HomeWork  1 Likes  
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HomeWork
12-Jul 2019 Friday 10:29 PM (1982 days ago)            #47
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quote originally posted by StanleyAdams:
Has potential, but too volatile or unpredictable, and not enough R&D done, for me. I am observing.



by the time your r and d is done, golden goose gonna fly away liao

but i can understand why ppl thinks that BC will go back to 0.1 etc

quote originally posted by StanleyAdams:


..



Rules 7 / 10 Fast and Furious - betting strategies.



Aha! Looks like there are some interests...so, I shall continue.


Ok, this is a very serious rule, so I will not joke around as I know my
jokes are only funny if you have a few beers.



First, let me tell you a real story...told by a VIP Service Manager.

Quite somtimes ago, an old man, looks like Taiwanee, bought-in 200k of
chips and he nicely told the casino manager that, " no fun, your table limit
is too low." The cocky manager told the vip service manager that, " looks
like he want to die faster." So, he increased the table's limit to the level the
man wanted. In a couple of hours, the old man won over 500k, cash out,
took his profit and run. That is called "fast and furious" play.


The point here is, playing a even chance game, baccarat, to win you must
have a very good or aggressive betting strategy, aka "hit hard; run fast!
Of course he must also have a good bet selection strategy aka pattern
recognition strategy...which will increases his win probablility.



Now, this lead to the rule of betting or staking strategy...aka, some form
of accelerated betting progression, or some form of martingale.

Btw, never play martingale..it is a sure-lose strategy as a negative progressive
betting, you simply just lose much more than you win, and lose much faster.

However, an asending progression, deploy in the right ways at the right times,
that is a different story.

Again, let's be clear, as usual, I always like to define the issue and breakdown the mechanic
so that the progressive ones can develop the strategy to a higher level. Aka, show you
how to fish and not giving away the fish. To some, with a loser's mindset, my thread
may be "wishful thinking" or BS to their understandings. For a winner's mindset, this
will be put some decent money into your pocket.


First, you must remember, the objective of a betting strategy is not just to win,
it is to optimize your betting yield.

Breaking it down...here are your options or I like to call them "buttons" right in front
of you to press, for your next decision on progression bet:

1. Increase - how much? Why?
2. Flat - same bet, no change, why?
3. Decrease - reduce, how much and why?
4. Pause - miss one or two bets, why?
5. Reset - back to square one, same as your last bet, or even the bet before the last bet, why?
6. Most important of all - STOP !!!!!!! When?????

With these options or decisions in mind, you can slowly, strategically formulate your betting
stratetgy or progression. It's all depends on your win probabilities, bankroll, wingoal, and loss
limit. Note: Casinos with billions $$ bankroll, they still have a table limit, aka loss limit.
So what is yours, limitations!




I did memtioned before about my "Turbo Matingale" progression. After second thought,
it is better not to expose it as it can be very aggressive or dangerous - sing or sink or like fire
- a good servant or a bad master. In fact, I like to call it "the nuke," as it has a "mushroom" effect. You get my drift?

This, you must know, it is not a negative progression like martingale or positive progression
like Paroli. Win or lose, I escalate. But, I do pause, sometimes. That is why it is very aggressive.
...... but very productive if you got it right.......aka, you make the right decisions.
The key here is, if you hit it right, one win could cover many of your losses.


Since last HKJC meeting was a very rewarding one, I will show you how my betting
strategy works, this Sunday, HKJC season finale. Go to the horse racing forum on Sunday to view.


Lastly, like a "critcal success factor" in business, betting strategy is the second most
"critical winning factor" for any betting or money game.

Of course, the most critical winning factor is bet selection strategy....
......coming soon on Rule 9. Bet Selection Strategy by Pattern Recognition.

Here is a teaser....

" Everything has a Pattern, even there is no pattern, that itself is a pattern."

Some said, " Pattern is everthing." Is "pattern Recognition," an Ai?

I will share with you, some effective techniques for Bet Selection and Pattern Recognition
strategies.




Remember,


" A winner, play to win; A loser always preparing to lose!"

- Strategic Advantage Investor.


Therefore, a winner only focus on concievable result game while a loser gamble on unknown risk.



....



chim.... pls teach asap senpai
 




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StanleyAdams
13-Jul 2019 Saturday 7:39 PM (1981 days ago)            #48
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..


Sorry guys, will not be posting HKJC 2moro, cause card very open and

competitive. Need to focus on paddock watching, without distraction.

There is always next season. Cheers.



....



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StanleyAdams
15-Jan 2020 Wednesday 3:33 PM (1795 days ago)            #49
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quote originally posted by StanleyAdams:

..
Sorry guys, will not be posting HKJC 2moro, cause card very open and
competitive. Need to focus on paddock watching, without distraction.
There is always next season. Cheers.
....






Ok Guys, today will share my HKJC's Selections and ACTUAL BETTINGS.

Go to horse racing forum to view.

Must say, Final selections and bettings CONFIRMATIONS, are
subject to paddock watching and last minutes market movements
So, it will be hard to follow betting cos' literately, very last minutes.
Best, just observe for the first time.

And, as my account is at HKJC, all results are based on HKJC PAYOUT.

All the best and have fun !!!!



.






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StanleyAdams
15-Jan 2020 Wednesday 11:12 PM (1795 days ago)            #50
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Joined: 16 Mar 16


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.

If you follow the staking, you will find it is quite aggressive.

That's how it works.

Just FYI, in the end, won a bit after winning the last two races' Qs.

.


.



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