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Posted By Topic: 東方拆局 1-1-2023       - Views: 46
Mono is King
01-Jan 2023 Sunday 3:50 PM (714 days ago)
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01-Jan 2023 Sunday 3:51 PM (714 days ago)            #2
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This message was edited by Mono is King on 01-Jan-2023 at 3:52 PM



 
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01-Jan 2023 Sunday 4:15 PM (714 days ago)            #33
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谢谢分享



 
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02-Jan 2023 Monday 12:53 AM (713 days ago)            #34
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02-Jan 2023 Monday 12:54 AM (713 days ago)            #35
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02-Jan 2023 Monday 12:55 AM (713 days ago)            #37
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02-Jan 2023 Monday 12:57 AM (713 days ago)            #38
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03:45 法甲 朗斯 VS 巴黎圣日尔曼
周日法甲【朗斯 VS 巴黎圣日尔曼】



朗斯:

要说本赛季法甲赛场上最令人感到意外的球队,毫无疑问非朗斯莫属,要知道他们三年前还只是一支法乙球队,但来到法甲之后,便一跃成为欧战竞争者之一,过去两个赛季均拿到了联赛第七的不错排名,本赛季更是顺风顺水,以11胜4平1负的强悍战绩力压一众强队,高居法甲第2位,紧跟法甲豪门大巴黎身后,堪称本赛季最大的黑马。朗斯本赛季之所以会如此强劲,在于他们引进了多名后场人员,着重加强了球队的防守能力,目前他们的防守能力与大巴黎并列法甲最强,甚至有的时候场上表现还要更胜一筹,同时半场传控反击也是打得风生水起,如此稳定的表现下,此番又有主场之利的加成,朗斯值得期待。



巴黎圣日尔曼:

大巴黎目前16轮联赛过后依旧保持着不败金身,以领先7分的较大优势领跑法甲积分榜,若不出意外本届的法甲冠军依旧会被大巴黎垄断,毕竟球队的阵容实在太豪华了,不仅有内马尔这位大杀器,还有第三代球王梅西,还有未来球王姆巴佩,简直羡煞众人,不过值得一提的是,梅西目前还在度假中,暂时还会缺席本场赛事,而内马尔上轮联赛则不幸染红,此役将会停赛,所以这场比赛大巴黎的整体战斗力是要打点折扣的。



综合分析:

总的来说,虽然大巴黎在整体实力方面更胜一筹,不过朗斯也并非毫无胜算,毕竟他们有着极强的防守本领,此役又有主场之利的加成,另外还有一点就是他们过去在交锋历史上也曾多次逼平过巴黎,上赛季就曾主客场均战平大巴黎,所以对付大巴黎,朗斯其实还是有一套心得的,在如今对手阵容不齐整的情况下,朗斯只要立足于防守,未尝不能守住一分。本场比赛数据方面对大巴黎也有看衰之意,后期走势有明显示弱地意思,整体形势对于朗斯更为有利,所以综合分析之下,此战不妨看好朗斯不败。



赛事方向:朗斯不败



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02-Jan 2023 Monday 12:57 AM (713 days ago)            #39
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朗斯
【有利】
1、战意:暂列积分榜次席,有机会争夺欧冠席位,为捍卫目前排名,战意强烈;
2、状态:算上热身赛的话,目前各项赛事已连续9场不败,期间获胜8场,竞技状态正值巅峰;
3、走势:过去8场赛事由7场顺利跑出数据,目前整体走势很好;
4、防守:过去9场赛事由5次保持零封,本赛季合计只有10个失球,防守质量乃法甲最强;
5、主场:联赛至今8战全胜,主场威力乃目前法甲最强;
6、交锋:过去4次与大巴黎交手只输过1次,上赛季两次交锋均逼平对手。
【不利】
1、进攻:上轮联赛没能取得进球,本赛季至今合计收获26球,进攻能力仅属于中游水准;
2、过人:本赛季场均只有6.3次成功过人,过人能力乃法甲倒数水平;
3、伤病:前锋布克萨、前腰科斯塔、中场卡伯特、门将法尼内斯目前均有伤在身,阵容受损。

巴黎圣日尔曼
【有利】
1、战意:暂列积分榜第一,领先身后球队7分,需抢分捍卫榜首,抢分欲望强烈;
2、状态:过去10场各项赛事保持全胜,目前竞技状态正值巅峰;
3、客场:联赛至今客场依然保持不败金身,期间8战7胜,客场战斗力很强;
4、进攻:目前联赛已经斩获45粒进球,锋线火力乃法甲最强;
5、配合:赛季至今全队已合计刷出33次助攻,乃法甲最多,团队配合能力很强;
6、传控:本赛季场均控球率高达61%,传球成功率高达91%,控场能力乃法甲最强;
7、防守:联赛至今合计只有10个失球,防守质量乃全联盟最好;
8、过人:本赛季场均有10.1次成功过人,过人能力乃法甲最强;
9、阵容:坐拥梅西、姆巴佩、内马尔三大球星,其中前两人还同时闯进世界杯决赛,阵容星光熠熠.
【不利】
1、伤停:梅西目前还在休假当中,中卫 金彭贝、后腰佩雷拉、左后卫努诺等球员仍有伤在身,阵容受损。



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02-Jan 2023 Monday 12:59 AM (713 days ago)            #40
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澳洲甲推荐:攻守均衡的墨尔本城,本轮有望再添一场胜利

惠灵顿凤凰:

惠灵顿凤凰近几年都混迹于澳洲甲中游,本赛季暂以2胜5平2负的战绩排名第7,距离争冠附加资格仅一步距离。球队凭借不俗的前场攻击力往往能先开记录,但本赛季已多次在领先的大好局面之下被对手翻盘,这对球队的士气或多或少都会有点打击。目前积11分排名第7位,本场比赛若能顺利拿下则有机会能冲进前四,因此球队上下对这一场胜利将无比渴望。

墨尔本城:

作为澳洲甲的老牌劲旅,本赛季的墨尔本城延续了上赛季的良好状态,目前依然高居联赛榜首,与第2名也拉开了4分的差距,榜首位置非常稳妥。球队攻防整体均衡,攻击能力在联赛中出类拔萃,防守也固若金汤,本赛季目前仅失了6个球,失球数为联赛最少。

双方在过去5场历史交锋中,墨尔本城以3胜2平的不败姿态占据了心理上的优势,考虑到双方同样不俗的攻击能力,本场比赛预计会展开一场对攻大战。考虑到墨尔本城强悍的防守,个人认为墨尔本城可能在本场对决中笑到最后,全取3分继续稳坐榜首位置。

参考方向:墨尔本城胜



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惠灵顿凤凰
【有利】
1、进攻:进攻是惠灵顿凤凰的一大优势,本赛季已打入17球位列联赛第2名,丝毫不差于墨尔本城;
2、阵容:球队近期无遭遇重大伤病,本场比赛能全员出战;
3、反击:球队在主场作战时,下半场往往能展开猛烈攻势,如果对手不能顶住压力则可能一波带走比赛;
4、战意:目前积11分排在中段位置,与前后几支球队积分十分胶着,本场若能取胜则有望一举冲进前四,战意不缺。
【不利】
1、防守:防守是球队的一大问题,球队往往能先开记录,但已多次被对手扳平甚至反超比分,守不住胜果;
2、主场:本赛季主场战绩为2胜3平1负,主场胜率不高;
3、战绩:联赛战罢9轮,得到2胜5平2负的战绩,多次被对手逆转,对球队士气有不少的影响。

墨尔本城
【有利】
1、交锋:双方近5次历史交锋,墨尔本城以3胜2平保持不败金身,心理层面占据优势;
2、状态:本赛季以6胜1平1负的战绩暂居联赛头名,状态非常出色;
3、防守:本赛季9场联赛共失6球,场均失球仅0.75,防守能力相当显著。
【不利】
1、走势:近5场赛事只有2场成功打出数据,走势表现比较一般。



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02-Jan 2023 Monday 1:00 AM (713 days ago)            #42
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澳甲精选:主客表现分明 阿德莱德联赢球无难度

推荐分析
阿德莱德联本赛季的整体表现比较飘忽,上一轮在主场以0-1输给了纽卡斯尔联后遭遇到了两连败,近三轮联赛连续不胜,状态十分糟糕。不过可以肯定的是,球队的主场表现还算是比较稳定,新赛季3个主场赢下了其中两场,延续了上赛季主场的胜率,只是近期连续失球会破坏防守稳定性,这场比赛很难保证大门不失。

珀斯光荣上一仗在主场以1-1战平了惠灵顿凤凰,整个赛季至今只拿到了第7个积分,表现十分惨淡。而且珀斯光荣并不擅长客场作战,本赛季6个客场输掉了其中的5场,唯一的胜仗对手还是实力偏弱的中部海岸海员,含金量严重不足,这场比赛相信大概率也会是挨打的状态居多。

数据方面初开给出了-0.75的位置,后续主队奖金还有持续下调的趋势,给予主队的支撑力还是比较足够的,按照两队的交锋情况而言,阿德莱德联是值得支持的,整体走势也是偏向正路,个人认为阿德莱德联这场比赛赢球相信难度不会太大。

赛事方向:阿德莱德联



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Mono is King
02-Jan 2023 Monday 1:00 AM (713 days ago)            #43
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阿德莱德联
【有利】
1、交锋:近3次与对方交手悉数取胜,心理优势巨大;
2、主场:新赛季3个主场赢下了其中两场,主战表现尚可;
3、球员:古德温已经有4个联赛进球斩获,目前是队内头号射手;
4、顺风:本赛季先进球的5场联赛最终未尝一败;
【不利】
1、防守:最近连续三场比赛均有失球出现,防守端稳定性欠佳;
2、韧性:本赛季4场先失球的联赛最终未尝胜绩,韧性极差;

珀斯光荣
【有利】
1、球员:亚伦·麦克尼夫已经有2球入账,目前是队内头号得分手;
2、大小:8轮联赛过后有5次打出大比分的记录,踢法相当奔放;
【不利】
1、防守:新赛季8场联赛均有失球出现,防守稳定性相当糟糕;
2、客场:新赛季6个客场输足5次,客战能力低下;
3、半场:本赛季联赛只有过1次赢得半场的记录;
4、韧性:本赛季先失球的6场联赛最终输足5场,韧性非常差;



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